ZCZC MIATCPEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Hurricane Dora Advisory Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042017 300 AM MDT Tue Jun 27 2017 ...DORA STARTING TO WEAKEN... SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.8N 109.2W ABOUT 255 MI...405 KM WSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Dora was located near latitude 18.8 North, longitude 109.2 West. Dora is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). This general motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected today and Wednesday, with a turn toward the west expected by Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of Dora is expected to pass over or just north of Socorro Island later today, and remain well south of the Baja California peninsula. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is expected during the next couple of days, and Dora could become a remnant low by Thursday. Satellite data indicate that Dora is a small tropical cyclone. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds only extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Dora are affecting portions of the coast of southwest Mexico. These swells are expected to spread northwestward and begin affecting portions of the coast of the southern Baja California peninsula today through Wednesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Blake NNNN