ZCZC MIATCPEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Hurricane Hilary Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092017 1000 PM CDT Mon Jul 24 2017 ...HILARY CONTINUES TO QUICKLY INTENSIFY... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE ON TUESDAY... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.0N 105.7W ABOUT 290 MI...470 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 610 MI...980 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Hilary was located near latitude 15.0 North, longitude 105.7 West. Hilary is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general motion with some increase in forward speed is expected over the next 48 hours. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected during the next 48 hours, and Hilary is forecast to become a major hurricane on Tuesday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 982 mb (29.00 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart NNNN