ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Hurricane Norma Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172017 900 AM MDT Sat Sep 16 2017 ...HURRICANE NORMA REMAINS STATIONARY SOUTH OF BAJA CALIFORNIA... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.3N 110.1W ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM ENE OF SOCORRO ISLAND ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM S OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has a issued Tropical Storm Watch from Santa Fe to Cabo San Lazaro. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Los Barriles to Todos Santos A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * North of Todos Santos to Cabo San Lazaro A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests in the remainder of the Baja California Peninsula should monitor the progress of Norma. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Norma was located near latitude 19.3 North, longitude 110.1 West. Norma has been nearly stationary, but a slow northward motion should begin later today and continue through Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Norma will move near or to the west of the southern Baja California Peninsula on Sunday and Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km). The Mexican Navy station in Isla Socorro recently reported a sustained wind of 38 mph (61 km/hr) and a gust of 54 mph (87 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Norma is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 8 to 12 inches over the southern portion of the Mexican state of Baja California Sur, with isolated maximum amounts in excess of 20 inches possible. These rainfall amounts may produce life-threatening flash floods. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area by early Sunday, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by late Sunday or early Monday. SURF: Swells generated by Norma are affecting portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico and Baja California Sur and will continue into early next week. These swells are likely to cause life- threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 1200 PM MDT. Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Landsea NNNN