ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Norma Intermediate Advisory Number 11A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172017 1200 AM MDT Sun Sep 17 2017 ...NORMA EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 1200 AM MDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.4N 110.2W ABOUT 120 MI...200 KM NNE OF SOCORRO ISLAND ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM S OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Los Barriles to Todos Santos A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * North of Todos Santos to Cabo San Lazaro A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1200 AM MDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Norma was located near latitude 20.4 North, longitude 110.2 West. Norma is moving toward the north near 5 mph (7 km/h). The tropical storm is forecast to turn toward the north-northwest this morning, followed by a turn toward the northwest by Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Norma will move near or just west of the southern Baja California Peninsula today and Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected for the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Norma is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches over the southern portion of the Mexican state of Baja California Sur, with isolated maximum amounts up to 8 inches. These rainfall amounts may produce life-threatening flash floods. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area by this afternoon. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area tonight or early Monday. SURF: Swells generated by Norma are affecting portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico and Baja California Sur and will continue into early next week. These swells are likely to cause life- threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky NNNN