ZCZC MIATCPEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Depression Ramon Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192017 1000 PM CDT Wed Oct 04 2017 ...POORLY ORGANIZED RAMON WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.8N 101.9W ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Watch from Puerto Angel to Acapulco. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Ramon was located near latitude 14.8 North, longitude 101.9 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h). A continued westward motion with an increase in forward speed is expected for the next day or two. On the forecast track, Ramon will continue moving away from the southern coast of Mexico tonight and on Thursday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The depression is expected to dissipate within the next 24 hours. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Ramon is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 5 inches over the Mexican states of Oaxaca, Guerrero, and southern Michoacan through Thursday, with heaviest amounts occurring near the coast. This rainfall could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky NNNN