ZCZC MIATCPEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Ramon Intermediate Advisory Number 2A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192017 100 PM CDT Wed Oct 04 2017 ...HEAVY RAINS AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.0N 97.0W ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SW OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Puerto Angel to Acapulco. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 12 to 24 hours. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ramon was located near latitude 15.0 North, longitude 97.0 West. Ramon is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and a general westward motion with some increase in forward speed is expected over the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Ramon is expected to move parallel to, but remain offshore of, the coast of southern Mexico. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is likely during the next 48 hours. Ramon is a small tropical storm. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Ramon is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches over the Mexican states of Oaxaca and coastal Guerrero through Thursday. This rainfall could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area during the next day or so. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch NNNN