ZCZC MIATCPEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA BULLETIN Tropical Storm Ramon Intermediate Advisory Number 3A...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP192017 700 PM CDT Wed Oct 04 2017 Corrected summary block formatting ...RAMON BRINGING HEAVY RAIN TO THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.1N 99.0W ABOUT 90 MI...140 KM SSW OF PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Puerto Angel to Acapulco A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 12 to 24 hours. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ramon was located near latitude 15.1 North, longitude 99.0 West. Ramon is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h), and a general westward motion is expected over the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Ramon is expected to move parallel to, but remain offshore of, the coast of southern Mexico. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Ramon is losing organization, and weakening is forecast to continue during the next day or two. The cyclone is expected to dissipate by Friday or sooner. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Ramon is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 5 inches over the Mexican states of Oaxaca, Guerrero, and southern Michoacan through Thursday, with heaviest amounts occurring near the coast. This rainfall could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area through this evening. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky NNNN