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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Jerry Advisory Number  21
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL102019
1100 AM AST Sun Sep 22 2019

...JERRY CONTINUES NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.7N 66.6W
ABOUT 470 MI...755 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Jerry.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jerry was
located near latitude 25.7 North, longitude 66.6 West.  Jerry is
moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h).  A turn
toward the north is expected on Monday, followed by a turn toward
the northeast late Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the center of
Jerry is expected to pass near Bermuda late Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Some slight strengthening is possible during the next day
or so.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.

The minimum central pressure estimated from Air Force Hurricane
Hunter observations is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Jerry can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC
and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml.

SURF:  Swells generated by Jerry are affecting portions of the
northern Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please
consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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