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Post-Tropical Cyclone Jerry Intermediate Advisory Number 33A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL102019
200 PM AST Wed Sep 25 2019

...JERRY APPROACHING BERMUDA BUT EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FURTHER...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.1N 66.1W
ABOUT 75 MI...125 KM W OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 to 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Jerry
was located near latitude 32.1 North, longitude 66.1 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east-northeast near 12
mph (19 km/h).  A continued east-northeasterly motion is expected
for the next couple of days, followed by a turn toward the east on
Friday.  On the forecast track, the center of Jerry is expected to
pass near or over Bermuda later today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual weakening is expected during the next few days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Jerry can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC
and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected on Bermuda by this
afternoon and could continue through this evening.

RAINFALL:  Jerry is expected to produce 1 inch or less of rainfall
across Bermuda through tonight.

SURF:  Swells generated by Jerry will continue to affect Bermuda
during the next few days.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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