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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Karen Advisory Number  13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL122019
500 AM AST Wed Sep 25 2019

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING DISCONTINUED FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE ALL
OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...
...RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.5N 65.2W
ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM NNE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning for Puerto Rico, Vieques, Culebra, and
the U.S. Virgin Islands has been discontinued. The government of
Antigua and Barbuda has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for
the British Virgin Islands.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Karen was
located near latitude 20.5 North, longitude 65.2 West. Karen is
moving toward the north near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue this morning.  A motion toward the
north-northeast is forecast to occur by this afternoon and continue
through Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of Karen will
continue to move farther away from Puerto Rico and the Virgin
Islands today through Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Rainfall:  Karen is expected to produce additional rainfall
accumulations of 1 to 2 inches across Puerto Rico and the Virgin
Islands, with isolated storm totals of 8 inches.

These rains may cause flash flooding and mudslides, especially in
mountainous areas. Some areas in southeastern Puerto Rico have
already received up to 5 inches of rainfall, which has caused some
flooding.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

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