ZCZC MIATCPEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Alvin Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012019 300 PM MDT Thu Jun 27 2019 ...ALVIN A LITTLE STRONGER BUT EXPECTED TO WEAKEN ON FRIDAY... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.6N 114.2W ABOUT 515 MI...830 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Alvin was located near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 114.2 West. Alvin is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next day or so. A turn toward the west with a decrease in forward speed is expected by late Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is likely tonight, but Alvin is expected to begin weakening on Friday. The tropical storm is forecast to become a remnant low on Saturday and should dissipate soon thereafter. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky NNNN