ZCZC MIATCPEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Depression Four-E Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042019 300 PM MDT Fri Jul 12 2019 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS WELL SOUTH OF MEXICO... ...FORECAST TO REMAIN WELL OFFSHORE... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.1N 107.5W ABOUT 340 MI...550 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Four-E was located near latitude 15.1 North, longitude 107.5 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue for the next day or so. A turn toward the west is expected on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours, however the cyclone could become a short-lived tropical storm later today or on Saturday. Weakening is expected by late Saturday and the system is forecast to become a remnant low by Sunday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky NNNN