ZCZC HFOTCPCP1 ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM BULLETIN Hurricane Erick Advisory Number 20 NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP062019 1100 PM HST Wed Jul 31 2019 ...ERICK HANGING ON AS A HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.5N 150.9W ABOUT 400 MI...645 KM SE OF HILO HAWAII ABOUT 610 MI...980 KM SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Erick was located near latitude 15.5 North, longitude 150.7 West. Erick is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue over the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Erick will pass within about 150 miles south of the Big Island of Hawaii on Thursday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Significant weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Erick is expected to weaken to a tropical storm on Thursday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 978 mb (28.88 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Erick will arrive in the Hawaiian Islands the next couple of days, potentially producing dangerous surf conditions, mainly along east and southeast facing shores. RAINFALL: Moisture associated with Erick will spread over portions of the Hawaiian Islands Thursday through Saturday, bringing the potential for localized heavy rainfall. Total rainfall amounts of 4 to 6 inches are possible, with localized higher totals. Please consult products from the National Weather Service in Honolulu for more information. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST. $$ Forecaster Birchard NNNN