ZCZC HFOTCPCP1 ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM BULLETIN Hurricane Erick Advisory Number 21 NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP062019 500 AM HST Thu Aug 01 2019 ...ERICK STILL HANGING ON AS A HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.9N 152.4W ABOUT 315 MI...510 KM SE OF HILO HAWAII ABOUT 520 MI...835 KM SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Erick was located near latitude 15.9 North, longitude 152.4 West. Erick is moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue over the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Erick will pass within about 200 miles south of the Big Island of Hawaii later today and tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Significant weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Erick is expected to weaken to a tropical storm later today. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 981 mb (28.97 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Erick will arrive in the Hawaiian Islands the next couple of days, potentially producing dangerous surf conditions, mainly along east and southeast facing shores. RAINFALL: Moisture associated with Erick will spread over portions of the Hawaiian Islands through Saturday, bringing the potential for localized heavy rainfall. Total rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches are possible, with localized higher amounts. Please consult products from the National Weather Service in Honolulu for more information. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST. $$ Forecaster Birchard NNNN