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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Ivo Advisory Number   4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP102019
300 AM MDT Thu Aug 22 2019

...IVO FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE IN A DAY OR SO OVER OPEN
WATERS...


SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.8N 112.5W
ABOUT 520 MI...835 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ivo was
located near latitude 15.8 North, longitude 112.5 West. Ivo has
decreased its forward speed and is moving toward the west near 13
mph (20 km/h). A turn toward the west-northwest is expected later
today or Friday with a northwestward motion continuing thereafter.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Ivo is forecast to become a hurricane by Friday, but weakening
should then begin after that time.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila

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