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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Ivo Advisory Number  15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP102019
200 PM PDT Sat Aug 24 2019

...IVO REMAINS A TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...
...SWELLS NOW REACHING THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...22.3N 116.5W
ABOUT 425 MI...680 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ivo was
located near latitude 22.3 North, longitude 116.5 West. Ivo is
moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this
motion is expected to continue through Sunday night.  A turn toward
the north and a decrease in forward speed are expected on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Ivo is expected to weaken to a tropical depression tonight or Sunday
and degenerate into a remnant low Sunday night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
mainly to the southeast of the center.

The minimum central pressure just reported by a NOAA Hurricane
Hunter aircraft is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by Ivo are now spreading onto the west coast
of Baja California Sur.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven

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