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Tropical Storm Raymond Advisory Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP202019
200 AM MST Sat Nov 16 2019

...RAYMOND MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM MST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.7N 110.6W
ABOUT 500 MI...805 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the southern Baja California peninsula should monitor
the progress of Raymond.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM MST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Raymond was
located near latitude 15.7 North, longitude 110.6 West. Raymond
jogged west-northwestward overnight, but it is expected to resume a
motion toward the north-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn to
the north is expected later today, and a northward to north-
northeastward motion should then continue through Sunday night.
On the forecast track, the center of Raymond is expected to be near
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula late Sunday or
early Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is expected today. Weakening is forecast
to begin Saturday night and continue through Monday.  Raymond is
forecast to weaken to a tropical depression when it nears the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula late Sunday and
should degenerate into a remnant low on Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km)
primarily to the east of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Raymond is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 3 to 5 inches across the southern portions of Baja
California Sur with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches. This
rainfall may produce life threatening flash floods.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM MST.

$$
Forecaster Brown

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