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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Arthur Intermediate Advisory Number 5A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL012020
800 PM EDT Sun May 17 2020
 
...ARTHUR'S OUTER RAINBANDS SKIRTING THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.8N 77.0W
ABOUT 260 MI...425 KM SSW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Surf City to Duck NC
* Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 24 hours.
 
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Arthur was
located by an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft near
latitude 31.8 North, longitude 77.0 West. Arthur is moving toward
the north-northeast near 9 mph (15 km/h).  A turn toward the
northeast with an increase in forward speed is forecast to occur
later tonight or on Monday.  A turn toward the east is expected on
Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the center of Arthur will remain
well offshore of the coasts of Georgia and South Carolina tonight,
and then move near or just east of the coast of North Carolina on
Monday.  Arthur is forecast to turn away from the east coast of the
United States Monday night and Tuesday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some gradual strengthening is forecast during the next day or
so. Arthur is likely to lose tropical characteristics on Tuesday.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km)
from the center.
 
The minimum central pressure recently measured by the
reconnaissance aircraft was 1004 mb (29.65 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected within the Tropical
Storm Warning area on Monday.
 
RAINFALL: Arthur is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
1 to 3 inches over coastal North Carolina tonight and Monday,
with locally higher amounts.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Arthur are affecting portions of the
southeast U.S. coast and are expected to spread northward along the
U.S. mid-Atlantic coast during the next day or two.  These swells
could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Stewart/Berg
 
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