ZCZC NFDTCPAT3 ALL TTAA00 KWNH DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Depression Cristobal Advisory Number 31 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL032020 400 AM CDT Tue Jun 09 2020 ...CRISTOBAL MOVING INTO MISSOURI... ...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD THROUGH THE MIDDLE AND UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES TODAY... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.8N 92.0W ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM N OF LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM ESE OF SPRINGFIELD MISSOURI MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for... * Areas in and near the length of the Mississippi Valley A Gale Warning is in effect for... * Much of Lake Michigan * Portions of eastern Lake Superior * Portions of Lake Huron DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Cristobal was located near latitude 36.8 North, longitude 92.0 West. The depression is moving toward the north near 25 mph (41 km/h) and its motion is expected to acceleerate to the north and north-northeast over the next 36 hours. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 36 hours as Cristobal transitions into an extratropical cyclone. The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Gusty winds are expected Tuesday night and Wednesday over portions of the Midwest and western Great Lakes as Cristobal strengthens as an extratropical low. RAINFALL: Cristobal will produce storm total rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches with local amounts to 6 inches from Arkansas to the western Great Lakes through Wednesday morning. This rainfall may produce flash flooding, and is forecast to produce new and renewed minor to moderate river flooding across portions of the lower Missouri and mid to upper Mississippi Valleys. Smaller streams and rivers across southeast Louisiana, southern Mississippi, and eastern Arkansas have already begun to rise. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Lamers FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 09/0900Z 36.8N 92.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 12H 09/1800Z 39.9N 91.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 10/0600Z 44.5N 89.3W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 10/1800Z 49.1N 85.1W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP NNNN