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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Cristobal Intermediate Advisory Number 10A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032020
100 AM CDT Thu Jun 04 2020
 
...CENTER OF CRISTOBAL MOVING FARTHER INLAND OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...18.0N 91.5W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM SSE OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SE OT 135 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Campeche to Coatzacoalcos Mexico
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cristobal was
located near latitude 18.0 North, longitude 91.5 West. Cristobal has
resumed a southeastward motion at about 3 mph (6 km/h), and this 
motion should continue this morning.  A turn toward the 
north-northeast and north is expected later today, and a general 
northward motion should continue through Saturday.  On the forecast 
track, the center will move over the land mass of eastern Mexico 
through today. The center is forecast to move back over the 
southern Gulf of Mexico on Friday, and over the central Gulf of 
Mexico on Saturday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are now near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Slow weakening will occur while the cyclone moves over land,
and Cristobal will likely become a tropical depression later today.
Some re-strengthening is expected to begin on Friday.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center, primarily over water.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Cristobal can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and
on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml
 
RAINFALL: Cristobal is expected to produce the following rain
accumulations through Saturday:
 
Mexican states of Campeche, Quintana Roo, Tabasco, and Yucatan...6
to 12 inches, isolated storm totals of 25 inches.
 
Mexican states of Veracruz and Oaxaca...5 to 10 inches.
 
Southern Guatemala and parts of Chiapas...Additional 15 to 20
inches, isolated storm total amounts of 35 inches dating back to
Saturday, May 30th.
 
El Salvador...Additional 10 to 15 inches, isolated storm total
amounts of 35 inches dating back to Saturday, May 30th.
 
Belize and Honduras...3 to 6 inches, isolated 10 inches.
 
Rainfall in all of these areas may produce life-threatening flash
floods and mudslides.
 
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are affecting the coast within
portions of the warning area.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Beven
 
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