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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Paulette Advisory Number  20
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL172020
500 PM AST Fri Sep 11 2020
 
...PAULETTE FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE SATURDAY OR SATURDAY
NIGHT...
...EXPECTED TO BRING HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO BERMUDA SUNDAY NIGHT
AND MONDAY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.6N 53.7W
ABOUT 750 MI...1205 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 855 MI...1380 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Paulette.  A
hurricane watch could be required for the island tonight or early
Saturday.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Paulette was
located near latitude 24.6 North, longitude 53.7 West.  Paulette is
moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h).  A motion toward
the northwest or west-northwest is expected through Sunday night, 
followed by a sharp turn toward the north by late Monday.  On the 
forecast track, the center of Paulette should be near Bermuda Sunday 
night and Monday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Strengthening is forecast, and Paulette is expected to
become a hurricane Saturday or Saturday night.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Paulette can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Paulette are affecting portions of the
Leeward Islands and will continue to spread westward to portions of
the Greater Antilles, Bahamas, Bermuda, and the southeastern United
States into the weekend.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.
 
$$
Forecaster Berg
 
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