ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Hurricane Genevieve Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP122020 400 PM CDT Mon Aug 17 2020 ...GENEVIEVE CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN... ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.5N 104.6W ABOUT 240 MI...390 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 615 MI...990 KM SE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for the southern portion of the Baja peninsula from Los Barriles on the east coast to Todos Santos on the west coast. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Southern Baja California peninsula from Los Barriles to Todos Santos A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Genevieve was located near latitude 15.5 North, longitude 104.6 West. Genevieve is moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through early Tuesday. A turn to the northwest with a decrease in forward speed is forecast to occur by Tuesday afternoon and continue through at least early Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of Genevieve is expected to move parallel to but well offshore the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next day or so. The center of the hurricane is forecast to pass near or southwest of the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula on Wednesday night and Thursday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid strengthening is forecast to continue during the next 24 to 36 hours, and Genevieve is expected to become a major hurricane on Tuesday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area in the southern Baja California peninsula by Wednesday afternoon. SURF: Large swells produced by Genevieve are affecting portions of the southern coast of Mexico and will spread northward along the southwestern and west-central coast of Mexico to the Baja California peninsula through Wednesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT. Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Brown NNNN