ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Hurricane Genevieve Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP122020 900 AM MDT Wed Aug 19 2020 ...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.9N 109.7W ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has issued a Hurricane Warning for the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula from Los Barriles to Todos Santos. The government of Mexico has extended the Tropical Storm Warning northward along the west coast of the Baja California peninsula to Cabo San Lazaro. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Southern Baja California peninsula from Los Barriles to Todos Santos A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * West coast of the Baja California peninsula from north of Todos Santos to Cabo San Lazaro A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * The east coast of the Baja California peninsula from Los Barriles to La Paz A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Genevieve was located near latitude 20.9 North, longitude 109.7 West. Genevieve is moving toward the north-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn toward the northwest is expected this afternoon or tonight, with this motion continuing through Friday night. On the forecast track, the center of Genevieve is expected to move near but just southwest of the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula tonight and Thursday, and move away from the peninsula on Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher gusts. Genevieve is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Gradual weakening is forecast over the next couple of days, but Genevieve is expected to remain a strong hurricane while it passes west of the southern Baja California peninsula. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 959 mb (28.32 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane warning area tonight and Thursday. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area in the southern Baja California peninsula by this afternoon, especially over higher terrain. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by tonight or Thursday morning, especially over higher terrain. RAINFALL: Genevieve is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches with isolated totals of 10 inches across portions of far southern Baja California Sur. This rainfall may lead to life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides. SURF: Large swells produced by Genevieve are affecting portions of the southern coast of Mexico and will spread northward along the southwestern and west-central coast of Mexico to the Baja California peninsula through Thursday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 1200 PM MDT. Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Brown NNNN