ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Hurricane Genevieve Advisory Number 16 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP122020 300 AM MDT Thu Aug 20 2020 ...GENEVIEVE EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWESTWARD SOON... ...HURRICANE-FORCE GUSTS AND HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUE OVER SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR... SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.5N 110.4W ABOUT 40 MI...70 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM SE OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Southern Baja California peninsula from Los Barriles to Todos Santos A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * West coast of the Baja California peninsula from north of Todos Santos to Cabo San Lazaro A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * The east coast of the Baja California peninsula from Los Barriles to La Paz A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 24 hours. Tropical storm conditions are already occurring along the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, especially over higher terrain. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Genevieve was located near latitude 22.5 North, longitude 110.4 West. Genevieve is moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn toward the northwest is expected later this morning, with that motion continuing through Saturday. On the forecast track, the center of Genevieve is expected to pass just to the southwest and west of the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula today, and move away from the peninsula on Friday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Further gradual weakening is expected today and through the weekend. However, Genevieve is forecast to remain a hurricane through today while it passes just to the southwest and west of the southern Baja California peninsula. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km). A gust to 90 mph (145 km/h) was recently reported in Cabo San Lucas Marina, Baja California Sur. The estimated minimum central pressure is 976 mb (28.82 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane conditions will continue for the next several hours in the warning area. Tropical storm conditions will spread northward within the warning area in the southern Baja California peninsula through today. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area later this morning, especially over higher terrain. RAINFALL: Genevieve is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches with isolated totals of 12 inches across portions of far southern Baja California Sur. This rainfall may lead to life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides. SURF: Large swells produced by Genevieve are affecting portions of the west-central coast of Mexico and are spreading northward along the coast of the Baja California peninsula. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 600 AM MDT. Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Roberts NNNN