<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><cxml xmlns:xsd="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xsi:noNamespaceSchemaLocation="http://www.bom.gov.au/bmrc/projects/THORPEX/CXML/cxml.0.2.xsd">
  <header>
  <product>Tropical Cyclone Forecast/Advisory (TCM)</product>
  <generatingApplication>ATCF
    <applicationType>Advisory 04</applicationType>
  </generatingApplication>
  <productionCenter>National Weather Service
    <subCenter>National Hurricane Center</subCenter>
  </productionCenter>
  <moreInfo>https://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/README</moreInfo>
  <comments>Advisory 04</comments>
  <creationTime>2025-10-14T02:45:52Z</creationTime>
  </header>
  <data type="forecast">
  <disturbance>
    <cycloneName>Lorenzo</cycloneName>
    <cycloneNumber>12</cycloneNumber>
    <localID>AL122025</localID>
    <basin>North Atlantic</basin>
    <fix hour="000">
      <validTime>2025-10-14T00:00:00Z</validTime>
      <latitude units="deg N" precision="0.1"> 15.7</latitude>
      <longitude units="deg W" precision="0.1">-42.3</longitude>
      <subRegion>Atlantic</subRegion>
      <cycloneData>
        <stormMotion>
          <directionToward units="deg">310.</directionToward>
          <speed units="kt">13.</speed>
        </stormMotion>
        <maximumWind>
          <speed units="kt">50.</speed>
          <averagingPeriod units="min">1.</averagingPeriod>
          <gusts units="kt">60.</gusts>
          <gustAvgPeriod units="s">3.</gustAvgPeriod>
        </maximumWind>
        <development>tropical storm</development>
        <windContours>
          <windSpeed units="kt">34
            <radius sector="NEQ" units="nm">90.</radius>
            <radius sector="SEQ" units="nm">150.</radius>
            <radius sector="SWQ" units="nm">20.</radius>
            <radius sector="NWQ" units="nm">90.</radius>
          </windSpeed>
          <windSpeed units="kt">50
            <radius sector="NEQ" units="nm">30.</radius>
            <radius sector="SEQ" units="nm">-999.</radius>
            <radius sector="SWQ" units="nm">-999.</radius>
            <radius sector="NWQ" units="nm">-999.</radius>
          </windSpeed>
        </windContours>
        <seaContours source="model">
          <waveHeight units="ft">12
            <radius sector="NEQ" units="nm">120.</radius>
            <radius sector="SEQ" units="nm">150.</radius>
            <radius sector="SWQ" units="nm">30.</radius>
            <radius sector="NWQ" units="nm">90.</radius>
          </waveHeight>
        </seaContours>
      </cycloneData>
    </fix>
    <fix hour="003">
      <validTime>2025-10-14T03:00:00Z</validTime>
      <latitude units="deg N" precision="0.1"> 16.2</latitude>
      <longitude units="deg W" precision="0.1">-42.8</longitude>
      <subRegion>Atlantic</subRegion>
      <cycloneData>
        <minimumPressure>
          <pressure units="mb">999.</pressure>
        </minimumPressure>
        <stormMotion>
          <directionToward units="deg">310.</directionToward>
          <speed units="kt">11.</speed>
        </stormMotion>
        <maximumWind>
          <speed units="kt">50.</speed>
          <averagingPeriod units="min">1.</averagingPeriod>
          <gusts units="kt">60.</gusts>
          <gustAvgPeriod units="s">3.</gustAvgPeriod>
        </maximumWind>
        <development>tropical storm</development>
        <windContours>
          <windSpeed units="kt">34
            <radius sector="NEQ" units="nm">90.</radius>
            <radius sector="SEQ" units="nm">150.</radius>
            <radius sector="SWQ" units="nm">20.</radius>
            <radius sector="NWQ" units="nm">90.</radius>
          </windSpeed>
          <windSpeed units="kt">50
            <radius sector="NEQ" units="nm">30.</radius>
            <radius sector="SEQ" units="nm">-999.</radius>
            <radius sector="SWQ" units="nm">-999.</radius>
            <radius sector="NWQ" units="nm">-999.</radius>
          </windSpeed>
        </windContours>
        <seaContours source="model">
          <waveHeight units="ft">12
            <radius sector="NEQ" units="nm">120.</radius>
            <radius sector="SEQ" units="nm">150.</radius>
            <radius sector="SWQ" units="nm">30.</radius>
            <radius sector="NWQ" units="nm">90.</radius>
          </waveHeight>
        </seaContours>
      </cycloneData>
    </fix>
    <fix hour="012">
      <validTime>2025-10-14T12:00:00Z</validTime>
      <latitude units="deg N" precision="0.1"> 17.4</latitude>
      <longitude units="deg W" precision="0.1">-43.9</longitude>
      <subRegion>Atlantic</subRegion>
      <cycloneData>
        <stormMotion>
          <directionToward units="deg">320.</directionToward>
          <speed units="kt">11.</speed>
        </stormMotion>
        <maximumWind>
          <speed units="kt">50.</speed>
          <averagingPeriod units="min">1.</averagingPeriod>
          <gusts units="kt">60.</gusts>
          <gustAvgPeriod units="s">3.</gustAvgPeriod>
        </maximumWind>
        <development>tropical storm</development>
        <windContours>
          <windSpeed units="kt">34
            <radius sector="NEQ" units="nm">80.</radius>
            <radius sector="SEQ" units="nm">100.</radius>
            <radius sector="SWQ" units="nm">20.</radius>
            <radius sector="NWQ" units="nm">50.</radius>
          </windSpeed>
          <windSpeed units="kt">50
            <radius sector="NEQ" units="nm">30.</radius>
            <radius sector="SEQ" units="nm">-999.</radius>
            <radius sector="SWQ" units="nm">-999.</radius>
            <radius sector="NWQ" units="nm">-999.</radius>
          </windSpeed>
        </windContours>
      </cycloneData>
    </fix>
    <fix hour="024">
      <validTime>2025-10-15T00:00:00Z</validTime>
      <latitude units="deg N" precision="0.1"> 19.3</latitude>
      <longitude units="deg W" precision="0.1">-44.5</longitude>
      <subRegion>Atlantic</subRegion>
      <cycloneData>
        <stormMotion>
          <directionToward units="deg">345.</directionToward>
          <speed units="kt">10.</speed>
        </stormMotion>
        <maximumWind>
          <speed units="kt">50.</speed>
          <averagingPeriod units="min">1.</averagingPeriod>
          <gusts units="kt">60.</gusts>
          <gustAvgPeriod units="s">3.</gustAvgPeriod>
        </maximumWind>
        <development>tropical storm</development>
        <windContours>
          <windSpeed units="kt">34
            <radius sector="NEQ" units="nm">70.</radius>
            <radius sector="SEQ" units="nm">70.</radius>
            <radius sector="SWQ" units="nm">20.</radius>
            <radius sector="NWQ" units="nm">40.</radius>
          </windSpeed>
          <windSpeed units="kt">50
            <radius sector="NEQ" units="nm">30.</radius>
            <radius sector="SEQ" units="nm">-999.</radius>
            <radius sector="SWQ" units="nm">-999.</radius>
            <radius sector="NWQ" units="nm">-999.</radius>
          </windSpeed>
        </windContours>
      </cycloneData>
    </fix>
    <fix hour="036">
      <validTime>2025-10-15T12:00:00Z</validTime>
      <latitude units="deg N" precision="0.1"> 21.6</latitude>
      <longitude units="deg W" precision="0.1">-44.2</longitude>
      <subRegion>Atlantic</subRegion>
      <cycloneData>
        <stormMotion>
          <directionToward units="deg">5.</directionToward>
          <speed units="kt">12.</speed>
        </stormMotion>
        <maximumWind>
          <speed units="kt">55.</speed>
          <averagingPeriod units="min">1.</averagingPeriod>
          <gusts units="kt">65.</gusts>
          <gustAvgPeriod units="s">3.</gustAvgPeriod>
        </maximumWind>
        <development>tropical storm</development>
        <windContours>
          <windSpeed units="kt">34
            <radius sector="NEQ" units="nm">70.</radius>
            <radius sector="SEQ" units="nm">70.</radius>
            <radius sector="SWQ" units="nm">30.</radius>
            <radius sector="NWQ" units="nm">40.</radius>
          </windSpeed>
          <windSpeed units="kt">50
            <radius sector="NEQ" units="nm">30.</radius>
            <radius sector="SEQ" units="nm">30.</radius>
            <radius sector="SWQ" units="nm">-999.</radius>
            <radius sector="NWQ" units="nm">-999.</radius>
          </windSpeed>
        </windContours>
      </cycloneData>
    </fix>
    <fix hour="048">
      <validTime>2025-10-16T00:00:00Z</validTime>
      <latitude units="deg N" precision="0.1"> 24.3</latitude>
      <longitude units="deg W" precision="0.1">-41.9</longitude>
      <subRegion>Atlantic</subRegion>
      <cycloneData>
        <stormMotion>
          <directionToward units="deg">40.</directionToward>
          <speed units="kt">17.</speed>
        </stormMotion>
        <maximumWind>
          <speed units="kt">60.</speed>
          <averagingPeriod units="min">1.</averagingPeriod>
          <gusts units="kt">75.</gusts>
          <gustAvgPeriod units="s">3.</gustAvgPeriod>
        </maximumWind>
        <development>tropical storm</development>
        <windContours>
          <windSpeed units="kt">34
            <radius sector="NEQ" units="nm">60.</radius>
            <radius sector="SEQ" units="nm">70.</radius>
            <radius sector="SWQ" units="nm">30.</radius>
            <radius sector="NWQ" units="nm">40.</radius>
          </windSpeed>
          <windSpeed units="kt">50
            <radius sector="NEQ" units="nm">30.</radius>
            <radius sector="SEQ" units="nm">30.</radius>
            <radius sector="SWQ" units="nm">20.</radius>
            <radius sector="NWQ" units="nm">-999.</radius>
          </windSpeed>
        </windContours>
      </cycloneData>
    </fix>
    <fix hour="060">
      <validTime>2025-10-16T12:00:00Z</validTime>
      <latitude units="deg N" precision="0.1"> 26.6</latitude>
      <longitude units="deg W" precision="0.1">-39.0</longitude>
      <subRegion>Atlantic</subRegion>
      <cycloneData>
        <stormMotion>
          <directionToward units="deg">50.</directionToward>
          <speed units="kt">17.</speed>
        </stormMotion>
        <maximumWind>
          <speed units="kt">60.</speed>
          <averagingPeriod units="min">1.</averagingPeriod>
          <gusts units="kt">75.</gusts>
          <gustAvgPeriod units="s">3.</gustAvgPeriod>
        </maximumWind>
        <development>tropical storm</development>
        <windContours>
          <windSpeed units="kt">34
            <radius sector="NEQ" units="nm">50.</radius>
            <radius sector="SEQ" units="nm">70.</radius>
            <radius sector="SWQ" units="nm">40.</radius>
            <radius sector="NWQ" units="nm">30.</radius>
          </windSpeed>
          <windSpeed units="kt">50
            <radius sector="NEQ" units="nm">20.</radius>
            <radius sector="SEQ" units="nm">30.</radius>
            <radius sector="SWQ" units="nm">20.</radius>
            <radius sector="NWQ" units="nm">-999.</radius>
          </windSpeed>
        </windContours>
      </cycloneData>
    </fix>
    <fix hour="072">
      <validTime>2025-10-17T00:00:00Z</validTime>
      <latitude units="deg N" precision="0.1"> 29.0</latitude>
      <longitude units="deg W" precision="0.1">-35.0</longitude>
      <subRegion>Atlantic</subRegion>
      <cycloneData>
        <stormMotion>
          <directionToward units="deg">55.</directionToward>
          <speed units="kt">21.</speed>
        </stormMotion>
        <maximumWind>
          <speed units="kt">55.</speed>
          <averagingPeriod units="min">1.</averagingPeriod>
          <gusts units="kt">65.</gusts>
          <gustAvgPeriod units="s">3.</gustAvgPeriod>
        </maximumWind>
        <development>tropical storm</development>
        <windContours>
          <windSpeed units="kt">34
            <radius sector="NEQ" units="nm">50.</radius>
            <radius sector="SEQ" units="nm">70.</radius>
            <radius sector="SWQ" units="nm">50.</radius>
            <radius sector="NWQ" units="nm">30.</radius>
          </windSpeed>
          <windSpeed units="kt">50
            <radius sector="NEQ" units="nm">20.</radius>
            <radius sector="SEQ" units="nm">30.</radius>
            <radius sector="SWQ" units="nm">20.</radius>
            <radius sector="NWQ" units="nm">-999.</radius>
          </windSpeed>
        </windContours>
      </cycloneData>
    </fix>
    <fix hour="096">
      <validTime>2025-10-18T00:00:00Z</validTime>
      <latitude units="deg N" precision="0.1"> 29.0</latitude>
      <longitude units="deg W" precision="0.1">-28.9</longitude>
      <subRegion>Atlantic</subRegion>
      <cycloneData>
        <stormMotion>
          <directionToward units="deg">90.</directionToward>
          <speed units="kt">13.</speed>
        </stormMotion>
        <maximumWind>
          <speed units="kt">50.</speed>
          <averagingPeriod units="min">1.</averagingPeriod>
          <gusts units="kt">60.</gusts>
          <gustAvgPeriod units="s">3.</gustAvgPeriod>
        </maximumWind>
        <development>tropical storm</development>
        <windContours>
        </windContours>
      </cycloneData>
    </fix>
    <fix hour="120">
      <validTime>2025-10-19T00:00:00Z</validTime>
      <latitude units="deg N" precision="0.1"> 26.0</latitude>
      <longitude units="deg W" precision="0.1">-31.0</longitude>
      <subRegion>Atlantic</subRegion>
      <cycloneData>
        <stormMotion>
          <directionToward units="deg">210.</directionToward>
          <speed units="kt">9.</speed>
        </stormMotion>
        <maximumWind>
          <speed units="kt">45.</speed>
          <averagingPeriod units="min">1.</averagingPeriod>
          <gusts units="kt">55.</gusts>
          <gustAvgPeriod units="s">3.</gustAvgPeriod>
        </maximumWind>
        <development>post-tropical depression</development>
        <windContours>
        </windContours>
      </cycloneData>
    </fix>
  </disturbance>
  </data>
</cxml>
