ZCZC MIATCDEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
Tropical Depression Adrian Discussion Number  20
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP012023
800 AM PDT Sun Jul 02 2023
 
Adrian is nearly post-tropical, having produced no deep convection 
for about 8 hours.  Post-tropical transition will likely conclude 
later today since the depression is moving over cooler waters.  The 
initial intensity is held at 30 kt based on the ASCAT pass mentioned 
in the previous advisory.  Without deep convection to sustain it, 
Adrian should gradually weaken and dissipate over the next couple of 
days or so.  The official intensity prediction is nearly identical 
to the previous one.
 
The tropical depression is moving west-northwestward away from the
Baja California peninsula at about 6 kt.  The low-level trade winds
should slowly turn the cyclone westward over the next couple of
days.  The NHC track forecast is again near the various consensus 
aids and no changes of note were made from the previous advisory.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  02/1500Z 19.5N 116.7W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  03/0000Z 19.9N 117.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  03/1200Z 20.1N 119.3W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  04/0000Z 20.1N 120.9W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  04/1200Z 20.0N 122.4W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  05/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Bucci
 
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