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Tropical Storm Jova Discussion Number  24
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP112023
800 AM PDT Sun Sep 10 2023
 
Limited convection is all that remains with Jova this morning. An 
earlier scatterometer pass depicted winds of around 30-35 kt. The 
cloud pattern has continued to deteriorate since that time. The 
initial intensity is lowered to 35 kt for this advisory, which is in 
good agreement with subjective and objective satellite intensity 
estimates.

Jova continues to gradually spin down as it traverses cool ocean 
temperatures and a stable environment. Jova is expected to 
degenerate into a remnant low later tonight. No significant 
changes were made to the official forecast, which lies near the 
consensus intensity aids.
 
Jova's initial motion is estimated to be northwestward at 315/4 kt, 
a slightly slower motion as the system continues to weaken and 
become steered by the low-level wind pattern.  As Jova degenerates 
into a remnant low it should turn toward the west and 
west-southwest.  The NHC forecast track is similar to the 
previous advisory, near the model consensus.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  10/1500Z 24.2N 126.9W   35 KT  40 MPH
 12H  11/0000Z 24.6N 127.5W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  11/1200Z 24.7N 128.3W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  12/0000Z 24.3N 129.4W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  12/1200Z 23.6N 131.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  13/0000Z 22.7N 133.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  13/1200Z 21.8N 135.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  14/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Kelly
 
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